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MainDBDraft: An Analysis of the Desertification/Land Degradation-Socioeconomic Nexus in Egypt's Delta Region

Title

An Analysis of the Desertification/Land Degradation-Socioeconomic Nexus in Egypt's Delta Region

Geographic region

Africa

Target group

Academics and scientists; Communities; Policy makers; Practitioners

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Date of submission

04/04/2023

Further information

This case study is the outcome of a graduate student Research Project at The British University in Egypt (BUE). The graduate student team is the first group of students at BUE to partner with the UNFCCC Secretariat through the Nairobi Work Programme to address two of the Lima Adaptation Knowledge Initiative (LAKI). Students: Maha Balbaa Maha155981@bue.edu.eg Remah Ibrahim Remah166026@bue.edu.eg Sameh Mansour Sameh188846@bue.edu.eg Advisors: Professor. Hoda Hassaballa, Hoda.Hassaballa@bue.edu.eg Associate Professor. Maha Elhini Maha.Elhini@bue.edu.eg

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The British University in Egypt

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Geographic scope

Local

Adaptation element

Adaptation planning and practices; Capacity building; Climate observations; Science and research; Socio-economic data and information; Stakeholder involvement; Vulnerability assessment

Adaptation sector/theme

Agriculture; Coastal areas/zones; Community-based adaptation; Food security

Climate hazard

Desertification; Increasing temperatures; Land and forest degradation; Salinization; Sea level rise

Implementing partners

1) Soil, Water, and Environment Research Institute, Ministry of Agriculture and Land Reclamation. -Dr. Mohamed El Sayed Abou Kota, Researcher in physicochemical Soil sciences. aboukota.m@gmail.com -Dr. Shimaa Kamal Ganzour, Assistant Professor of Soil Sciences and Spatial Techniques. sh.ganzour82@gmail.com 2) Central Agency For Public Mobilization & Statistics (CAPMAS).

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Type of organization

Civil society

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Country

Egypt

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Key beneficial practices and lessons include: 1. Collective action and capacity building are the most effective ways to combat climate change. 2. Integration with partners on the national and international levels, academics and scientists from inter-disciplinary fields: economics, agriculture, climate change and GIS have collaborated and produced a comprehensive picture that would not have been possible from one field of study. 3. Capacity building including mentoring, workshops and training helped to learn advanced research methods, as well as designing policies that can touch local communities and civil society closely. 4. Updating data and informing government entities that data dissemination is an essential element for development.

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NWPTypeOfKnowledge

Technical document/report

Description

The Nile Delta is amongst the world’s most vulnerable areas to climate change and is also a main source of agricultural production for Egypt. The region comprises 11 governorates including Beheira – one of Egypt’s largest Delta governorates, and Alexandria– Egypt’s largest coastal governorate and second-largest city. Beheira and Alexandria are facing risks including sea level rise, desertification and urban encroachment on agricultural lands which are impacting national agricultural production. Hence, this research aimed to explore the socioeconomic impacts of desertification/land degradation in Alexandria and Beheira and propose an action policy plan to support decision-making and policy-making. The research was attempting to address two of the Lima Adaptation Knowledge Initiative (LAKI) gaps (10 and 11) identified for the North Africa sub-region; (10): Insufficient information and knowledge about interconnections between desertification and socio-economic development, (11): Limited information and knowledge sharing on interlinkages with other sectors. The following methodology was followed to accomplish the aim of the research: 1. Adopting the MEDALUS-GEE approach to calculate the Environmental Sensitivity Index (ESI), a proxy for desertification/ land degradation. 2. The Ricardian Approach using the Seemingly Unrelated Regression (SUR) to examine the economic impacts of climate change on agricultural revenue (Aggregated from the five main crops) on the governorate level. 3. Assessing the interlinkages between the desertification/ land degradation and socioeconomic development on the individual level through employing Principal Components Analysis on the ESI sub-indices, then running Ordinary Least Squares (OLS) to regress the wealth index of individuals on land degradation, along with other explanatory variables.

Outcome

A memo (in Arabic) was submitted to the Ministry of Agriculture and Land Reclamation highlighting the key project outcomes. The memo included an analysis of the ESI maps, a recommendation of crops to soil suitability, socio-economic policy action to improve communication between farmers and government entities as well as mapping ESI to socioeconomic characteristics of individuals on the district level. The ESI maps indicated that most of the districts of Alexandria are unsuitable for farming owing to their proximity to the Mediterranean Sea, and the nature of the industrial activity located there. Actions could include modifying the region’s strategy, by converting it into fish farming (aquaculture) rather than agriculture. The results indicated that the highest degree of land degradation and desertification (>1.530: CAA3 (HSL)) is concentrated in the Beheira Governorate, specifically the Qattara Depression area and Wadi Al-Maghra (representing 46 percent) of the total area of the hinterland of the Beheira Governorate. Several suggested treatments are also proposed to reduce the impact of soil degradation and productivity in the long term. A Vulnerability Assessment by mapping the socioeconomic status of individuals on the district level in both governorates to the environmental sensitivity index found that the areas most affected by land degradation have the lowest socioeconomic status. For instance, Dalangat is the highest sensitive district to land degradation in Beheira, which is also characterized by relatively lower agricultural revenue, the lowest wealth index, as well as the lowest average years of schooling. In Alexandria, the Mena El-Basal district is the highest area that is sensitive to land degradation and is also characterized by the lowest wealth index, the lowest average years of schooling, a higher-than-average household size of approximately 6, and high population density, leading to high urban sprawl in that area. Therefore, the proposed policy action recommended designing customized interventions for the most affected areas and highly stressed on avoiding the “One Size fits all” approach. A detailed elaboration of the project will be available as a journal paper to be updated here.

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Case study

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Processed

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Created at 04/04/2023 23:50 by  
Last modified at 05/04/2023 07:00 by crmmocservices